KUBR

SVB failed in two days after unrealised bond losses and a deposit run

Silicon Valley Bank · Bank (listed)

Funding shockConcealed debtGovernance failure

The case in brief

Visible before detection

    Checks that could have surfaced it, on hindsight

    1

    Drawing power vs books

    Would have compared unrealised losses with capital.

    Can mislead when: CARO is annual, so the signal comes late. It covers only borrowers above the ₹5 crore limit.

    2

    Operating-metric verification

    Would have measured how concentrated and uninsured deposits were.

    Can mislead when: Contract staff do not appear in EPFO. Vahan access needs licensed APIs. Some businesses have no physical trace.

    3

    Third-party confirmation

    Would have confirmed deposit concentration with the largest depositors.

    Can mislead when: Counterparties can collude or ignore requests. A non-response is logged as a gap, never as a pass.

    Where Kubr services would have helped

    Financial diligence

    Offered in India
    • C10 Would have measured how concentrated and uninsured deposits were.
    • C14 Would have compared unrealised losses with capital.

    Model check

    Offered in India
    • C10 Would have measured how concentrated and uninsured deposits were.
    • C14 Would have compared unrealised losses with capital.

    Valuation context

    Offered in India
    • Peer multiples and the exit-multiple bridge would have shown how much of the story relied on valuation holding.

    Portfolio monitor

    Offered in India
    • C10 Would have measured how concentrated and uninsured deposits were.

    Mapped from the checks each service runs. A hindsight reading of public records, not a promise that the failure would have been found.

    A summary of public documents. It reports what the sources say. It is not Kubr's finding and not a statement of guilt.