KUBR

Lilium files for insolvency twice after state loan and rescue fail

Lilium GmbH / Lilium eAircraft GmbH · eVTOL / aviation

Unit economicsFunding shock

The case in brief

Visible before detection

    Checks that could have surfaced it, on hindsight

    1

    Third-party confirmation

    Customers would confirm orders as non-binding.

    Can mislead when: Counterparties can collude or ignore requests. A non-response is logged as a gap, never as a pass.

    2

    Operating-metric verification

    Certification milestones would show no near-term revenue.

    Can mislead when: Contract staff do not appear in EPFO. Vahan access needs licensed APIs. Some businesses have no physical trace.

    3

    Unit economics & burn

    Burn against zero revenue would show dependence on new money.

    Can mislead when: Cost allocation is a judgement call. Kubr shows its assumptions and lets the user change them.

    4

    End-use tracing of funds

    Proof of rescue funds would be absent.

    Can mislead when: Kubr sees only the company's own accounts. Once money reaches a third party's bank, Kubr can flag the payee but cannot see the next hop without that party's consent.

    Where Kubr services would have helped

    Valuation context

    Offered in India
    • C9 Burn against zero revenue would show dependence on new money.

    Financial diligence

    Offered in India
    • C9 Burn against zero revenue would show dependence on new money.
    • C10 Certification milestones would show no near-term revenue.

    Model check

    Offered in India
    • C9 Burn against zero revenue would show dependence on new money.
    • C10 Certification milestones would show no near-term revenue.

    Proceeds tracer

    Offered in India
    • C6 Proof of rescue funds would be absent.
    • C10 Certification milestones would show no near-term revenue.

    Mapped from the checks each service runs. A hindsight reading of public records, not a promise that the failure would have been found.

    A summary of public documents. It reports what the sources say. It is not Kubr's finding and not a statement of guilt.